Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.756594 4.001369 4.265325 4.573218 4.925257 5.318663 5.796569
2025-06-01 3.365432 3.686422 4.052000 4.505965 5.064789 5.745127 6.661818
2025-06-08 3.091958 3.460244 3.898064 4.470552 5.222329 6.214306 7.701278
2025-06-15 2.903175 3.308616 3.808833 4.494161 5.451278 6.822261 9.138474
2025-06-22 2.692977 3.107609 3.632579 4.376462 5.464787 7.129879 10.255643
2025-06-29 2.497105 2.907014 3.435658 4.203402 5.366756 7.242028 11.095918
2025-07-06 2.359179 2.770079 3.309707 4.113018 5.375297 7.528234 12.448079
2025-07-13 2.318430 2.756655 3.347874 4.261769 5.782789 8.635560 16.616171
2025-07-20 2.255917 2.708255 3.331389 4.324001 6.057027 9.595906 21.866291
2025-07-27 2.239085 2.720306 3.400839 4.527812 6.626999 11.484707 36.774614
2025-08-03 2.200788 2.698718 3.417585 4.646161 7.064321 13.357354 71.419957
2025-08-10 2.127652 2.622432 3.345015 4.602255 7.158429 14.326224 134.754751
2025-08-17 2.018489 2.495645 3.197407 4.432019 6.994182 14.544088 268.600022
2025-08-24 1.939111 2.409125 3.108005 4.359238 7.043191 15.648713 NaN
2025-08-31 1.873245 2.339302 3.040486 4.319941 7.167801 17.277298 NaN
2025-09-07 1.824339 2.292095 3.005721 4.338134 7.444054 20.130186 NaN
2025-09-14 1.754230 2.209541 2.908216 4.225388 7.357696 21.024720 NaN
2025-09-21 1.679602 2.117160 2.789783 4.061614 7.104895 20.668547 NaN
2025-09-28 1.624611 2.052563 2.713944 3.975835 7.053215 21.726721 NaN
2025-10-05 1.613840 2.054828 2.748817 4.114685 7.679161 30.108390 NaN
2025-10-12 1.589506 2.034767 2.744425 4.172511 8.093785 40.123351 NaN
2025-10-19 1.587042 2.048529 2.798696 4.362656 9.040412 81.210156 NaN
2025-10-26 1.571877 2.041233 2.815332 4.472791 9.782219 237.698133 NaN